Lately we caught some interesting activity in Toy Makers - but in particular we want to point out what we have been seeing in Hasbro ($HAS).
Hasbro, Inc., operates in the entertainment industry. In particular through its Consumer Products segment that engages in the sourcing, marketing, and sale of toy and game products. However, Hasbro has been growing its digital revenues substantially through the acquisition of eOne entertainment and the strong investment in online gaming through Magic the Gathering and Dungeons & Dragons IP.
Recently, our platform ZackFinds.com, found 2 interesting transactions in Hasbro - clearly both seem bearish:
What’s happening with Hasbro at the fundamental level?
1st. Commodity Prices for their products have been increasing substantially. Rising fuel and raw material prices for paperboard and other components such as resin used in plastics or electronic components as well as increasing transportation, shipping and labor costs in the markets in which Hasbro products are manufactured will hit margins and reduce profitability.
2nd. Geopolitical Tensions with China - similar to what we have seen during the Trump administration - will have a significant effect in the ability to buy finished goods. Even though Hasbro is transitioning their value chains, the majority of the manufactures are still in China (~52%), with a significant amount of product sourcing also coming from manufacturers in Vietnam and a lesser amount from India.
The imposition of tariffs, quotas, border adjustment taxes or other protectionist measures significantly increase the cost of imported products and consequently shift more orders from direct import to domestic sales, increase shipping and warehousing costs, delay the time of sales to retailers and result in lost sales. In the past, leading up to tariffs by the Trump administration - Hasbro was able to opportunistically build up inventories before the tariffs came into effect - and effectively mitigating some of the short term operational risks.